One of Sallee's top college football picks for Week 4: He's backing the Under 62.5 in No. Kentucky pulls away in the fourth quarter with the same no-nonsense formula. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks (3-0) [7 p.m.], No. 5 USC (-2.5) vs. No. 4: Texas State at Nevada 4. And which college football picks need to be part of your parlays? Texas secured a lopsided 70-35 victory over Texas Tech last season behind a strong effort from running back Bijan Robinson, who finished with 137 rushing yards in that victory. Pick: Tennessee wins 35-28 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Uiagalelei settles in with a few big plays in the passing game on the road. Alabama has covered two 40-point spreads this season, and they do it again here. 11 Tennessee vs. No. Texas got all it could handle last Saturday at home against UTSA, leading by just four points late in the third quarter before Jahdae Barron ran back a back-breaking pick-six to jump-start the 21-point victory. 2023 Minute Media - All Right Reserved. The Gators have dominated the series, but the Volunteers are heavy favorites this time. Pick: Oregon wins 34-26 and COVERS the spread. The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other FBS matchup in Week 4, and it says a Top 25 favorite will go down hard in one of the week's biggest games. Indiana might be the least convincing 3-0 team in the country. Pick: Texas wins 42-31 and COVERS the spread. Saturday should be even zanier, so I'm going to try to control the uncontrollable starting with . The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. The Huskies are 2-2 ATS. 5 Clemson (2017), 48-0 loss to No. No. It's ye olde unstoppable force vs. immovable object debate. You can like The Game Haus on . 23 Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) [7 p.m.]. The 11th-ranked Volunteers have received a lot of hype, but what have they done to deserve double-digit respect? Professional bettors Gill Alexander, Preston Johnson and Bob Stoll all reveal their choices against-the-spread this week and the reasoning behind their choices in order to help you decide. 22 Texas Longhorns (2-1) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. All six games were decided by at least 21 points. We will have 6 Premium Picks against the spread this Bowl Season! The average Notre Dame game this season has featured just 39.7 total points. They won't quite pull it off, but they'll make it interesting. 6 Texas A&M. It needed a last-minute touchdown to win the opener against Illinois, trailed 10-0 at halftime against Idaho in Week 2 before rallying for a victory over an FCS opponent and needed a last-minute touchdown, a two-point conversion and overtime to beat Western Kentucky. No. Time for the Cougar faithful to drink a few hundred gallons of Fireball and cheer their boys to what might be the biggest upset of Week 4. Over the past three-plus years, he is 113-93 in his popular best bets column at SportsLine, including going 8-4 so far this season. Clemson has won the last eight meetings in the series. Independent Big 12 Blog for updated info. That seems about right considering New Mexico has scored 14 points or fewer in six of its nine games. Clemson has gone unbeaten through its first eight games this season and is coming off its bye week. Week 4 of the 2022 college football season features several high-profile and interesting matchups to bet against the spread, including Florida-Tennessee, Baylor-Iowa State, Kansas State-Oklahoma and Clemson-Wake Forest. Pick: Oregon wins 38-14 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. 15 Oregon Ducks (2-1) at Washington State Cougars (3-0) [4 p.m.]. The Golden Flashes lost to Washington and Oklahoma by an average of 27.5 points per game, but the Bulldogs have allowed just one offensive TD in three games. But I dont have time to wait. College football Week 4 odds, picks, and predictions. Premium Picks are generally posted on or before Tuesday morning to take advantage of money making picks before the lines move. We finished 4-6 on our picks against the spread but still . September 20, 2022 30A Sports Picks Free Content 0. Don't let the 41-20 final score fool you. Hooker has thrown for at least 221 yards and two touchdowns in every game this season, helping the Volunteers average 52.0 points per game. There are three ranked-against-ranked showdowns in Week 4, but Trojans-Beavers may well be the best game on the slate. CMU's defense allowed over 500 yards and a combined 96 points in its losses to Oklahoma State (understandable) and South Alabama (less understandable). Texas A&M is trying to make it 10 in a row against their SEC West rivals. And Oregon State's offense is potent in its own right, scoring at least 21 points in 22 of its last 23 games. 10 Tennessee in a classic SEC East rivalry. The Cougars spent nearly a decade ignoring defense under former head coach Mike Leach, but that has put the school in position to start 4-0 for the first time in five years. The Sun Devils defense was helpless against both Oklahoma State and Eastern Michigan, and Utah's offense is probably better than both of those. Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News. BENDER: Alabama's close call, FSU's disastrous start and more takeaways from Week 3. Another big spread here, and a potential hangover game for the Hurricanes. Premium Picks were off the charts for the 2020 and 2021 regular seasons (ranking in the top 2% for the handicapper industry at a fraction of the cost)! Uiagalelei and No. They do not store directly personal information . If you lean toward No. Clemson stock is down, especially after a goal-line stand was needed to finish off Georgia Tech. Conference play is starting for most of the country with a handful of massive matchups littering the 12-hour college football day. Somehow, with help from a pick six, some short fields and a late missed field goal, the Gators still managed to eke out a home win over South Florida. ET SEC on CBS kickoff at Neyland Stadium. Pick: Georgia wins 48-3 and COVERS the spread. Each week during the 2022/2023 college football season, every game will be evaluated with a computer algorithm generated prediction using a large array of the latest team statistics. Coincidentally, 80 percent of the selections this week are underdogs. Pull that stunt again this week on the road against a much better offense and they could be facing quite the deficit by the time they finally wake up. 3 TCU, Saturday 4 p.m. ESPN. And the Blue Devils offense is unlikely to keep pace in a high-scoring affair. However, that Cardinal secondary looked awful two weeks ago against the Trojans, and UW QB Michael Penix Jr. just lit up Michigan State for nearly 400 passing yards and four touchdowns. Oregon got absolutely boat-raced by Georgia in Week 1, but, oh well, no one cares and the Ducks are back up to No. 3 Ohio State. Texas State at Nevada. Given that baseline, Maryland might have a better showing than usual. That said, this is the kind of statement game the Irish need. The Gators Wire crew converged to give their predictions for the Gators. But they're better than that, and they should bounce back in a big way against a Wyoming offense that has managed just four touchdowns through three games against FBS opponents (Illinois, Tulsa and Air Force). Wake Forests Sam Hartman threw for 312 yards in the meeting last year and should have even more success against a secondary that ranks among the nations bottom half despite its soft early schedule. Duke Blue Devils (3-0) at Kansas Jayhawks (3-0) [Noon]. AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. Best bets: Michigan, Arkansas, Kansas StateThis season: 16-27-2 2014-21 record: 1,030-970-19, 2023 NYP Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved, College Football Playoff predictions: Michigan vs. LSU, Georgia vs. Ohio State, College football bowl game predictions: Picks against the spread for every game, College football picks and predictions Friday: Bahamas Bowl, Cure Bowl, College football Saturday predictions: TCU vs. Kansas State, plus more picks, College football predictions: USC vs. Utah, plus another Friday pick, College Football National Championship winner odds. Available in AZ, CT, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. College Football Game Picker: W. Virginia by 7.12, College Football Game Picker: Coastal Carolina by 4.38, College Football Game Picker: Syracuse by 18.09, College Football Game Picker: Air Force by 17.85, College Football Game Picker: Boise St. by 16.34, College Football Game Picker: Michigan by 16.84, College Football Game Picker: Baylor by 1.82, College Football Game Picker: Louisville by 14.28, College Football Game Picker: Clemsonby 6.64. 15 in the AP poll after a home win over BYU. College football games can sometimes be easy to pick with mismatches. Clemson has been stop-and-start on offense, but the defense has allowed just 14.0 points per game through three games. Iowa's methodical offense can make for some nail-biting covers, but that defense will cause problems for the Rams, who complete just 55.7 percent of their passes as a team. The Huskies are riding the momentum off last week's huge victory against Michigan State, and now they open Pac-12 play against Stanford. If you parlay them together, you could be looking at a return of around 6-1. Kiffin has . The team highlighted in green is the College Football Game Picker team predicted to cover the spread. Pick: Fresno State wins 41-14 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Or more important, that the Bulldogs have failed to cover all seven games as favorites of at least 40 points under head coach Kirby Smart. This is a get-over-the-hump game for the Demon Deacons, who have lost the last 13 meetings against the Tigers. 2) My NFL picks in this newspaper are 23-9 (and out tomorrow! 16 Arkansas and No. Here is a look at our track record against the spread this season. Week 4 of the college football season is already here, and a pair of SEC matchups highlights the AP Top 25 schedule. Finally, intangibles such as Covid-19, injuries, suspensions, weather, and trends will be used in the days leading into the game to provide an accurate prediction for each game versus the Vegas spread. Appalachian State is riding high, both from last week's Hail Mary victory over Troy and the previous week's stunning road upset of then-No. Maryland at No. Pick: BYU wins 42-13 and COVERS the spread. We will have 6 more Premium Picks against the spread this week! Here are some of the notable Week 4 opening lines as of Monday [September 20] at 11:00 AM ET. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Utah -15 (-110) vs. Arizona State +15 (-110), O/U 52. 'Bama took out some frustration in last week's 63-7 win over Louisiana-Monroe, but it still has something to prove in the aftermath of the close call against Texas. In fact, the Razorbacks are dead last in the nation at 352.7 passing yards allowed per game. 8 LSU (2013). Each week they are joined by KSR caller Jay In Lyndon for picks against th College football picks, predictions against the spread for every Week 4 top 25 game, Alabama's close call, FSU's disastrous start and more takeaways from Week 3. The Bulldogs' lone win surpassing this spread was against Oregon. All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2023 | MH Magazine WordPress Theme by MH Themes, Learn About The College Football Game Picker, 2020 College Football Week 4 Free Predictions and Picks Against the Spread, 2019 College Football Week 15/16 Free Predictions and Picks Against the Spread, 2021 College Football Bowl Season Free Picks and Predictions Against the Spread. ET matchup in Corvallis. 5 Iowa (2021), 55-16 loss to No. This Vanderbilt defense allowed 495 total yards to Elon in Week 1 and 45 points against Wake Forest the week after that. UMass has put up 28 points each of the last two weeks and covered in both of those games. Enjoy the free college football picks against the spread as well! MORE: Overlooked in high school, QB Cam Ward has his eye on the NFL. Both teams are ranked in the AP Top 20, and while Tennessee is both ranked higher and the home team, Florida has completely owned this SEC East rivalry as of late, winning five straight and 16 of the last 17 meetings dating back to 2005. Here's where this tilts. Head coach Pat Narduzzi opted to play it safe with the quarterback he knows he's going to need when the Panthers begin ACC play in Week 5, and it wouldn't be a surprise if Slovis also sits this one out. Fun fact: Minnesota has scored 20 offensive touchdowns and has allowed a grand total of 17 points. 7 min read. 2 Alabama vs. Vanderbilt, as the programs will meet for the first time since the Crimson Tide recorded a 59-0 win in 2017. The Beavers put up 34 and 35 against Boise State and Fresno State, respectively, and it'd be surprising if they don't at least reach 27 in this game. Oklahoma's offense looks about as good as it did under Lincoln Riley and under Bob Stoops before him, averaging north of 500 total yards per game with 17 touchdowns against just one turnover. Georgia has won the last three meetings in Nashville by an average of 24 points per game. 2 Alabama to No. 24 Pitt game is not included due to the Rams being an FCS team. If the spread (Iowa State -2.5 at last check) and/or recent history is any indication, this should be a nail-biter. Can they cover the 40.5-point spread this week? The Falcons are favored by 21.5 at home and the point total is 37.5. Alabama 34, State of Kansas 24 Choose: Alabama-6.5 Fiesta: No. LINE Army -19.5. See Premium Picks for the lock. The Wildcats got caught looking ahead and lost outright as a two-touchdown favorite against Tulane. 1) It's a marathon, not a sprint. They have failed to cover against Tulane and Nebraska; games in which the spread was more than 20 points. The Badgers have given up 8.0 points per game through three weeks, but they haven't faced an offense like this. Mississippi enters this weekend's matchup with Tulsa 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread, coming off an impressive 42-0 shutout of Georgia Tech as 17-point favorites last week. Trying to get back above .500 with the game lines . No. Year No. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegefootball | pageType: stories | LINE Missouri -1.5. The Red Raiders have not beat the Longhorns in Lubbock since the legendary 39-33 shootout in 2008. Texas A&M is a 2-point favorite in the latest Week 4 college football odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 51. No. The battle will be won in the trenches. Pick: Alabama wins 49-7 and COVERS the spread. Wyoming hasn't won in Provo since 1987. 3) Favorites went 15-0 straight up and 14-1 against the . This is another large spread. But if the Aggies relentlessly feed those two playmakers, they reasonably could do to this porous secondary what Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle did to the NFL's Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, finishing with 22 receptions, 361 yards and four touchdowns. And early returns suggest this should be quite the duel between defenses that are way better than we've come to expect from the Big 12. Oklahoma already has 13 sacks and is leading the nation with 32 total tackles for loss. LINES Nevada -1 ATS PICK Nevada. Pick: Penn State wins 48-21 and COVERS the spread. This should be a fun game between undefeated Big 12 teams that have survived early-season tests. Here is a look at our track record against the spread this season. Tennessee quarterback Hendon Hooker (5) get the snap during the NCAA college football game against Akron on Saturday, September 17, 2022 in Knoxville, Tenn. Utvakron0917. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The Longhorns win their Big 12 opener in style. Pick: Georgia wins 42-9 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Elsewhere in the SEC, the Auburn Tigers are 7.5-point favorites at home against the Missouri Tigers and No. This one plays out closer than expected. 3 a mind-blowing aberration you probably believe, like me, that underdogs will tip the scales in their favor shortly. Can the Golden Flashes sneak in a cover here? Pick: BYU wins 35-17 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. Pick: UTSA wins 34-27 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Quarterback Drew Pyne will look noticeably improved against one of the nations worst defenses, while the Tar Heels freshman QB, Drake Maye, will return to Earth in his first start against a power program. Four of the last five matchups in Stillwater have been decided by one score, and the Cowboys are 4-1 in those games. Brian Kelly is 14-8 against Big Ten opponents. The Bears are off to a 3-0 start under second-year coach Dave Aranda with the help of a three-headed rushing attack that averages 328.5 yards per game and an improved defense. And that Demon Deacons defense doesn't appear to be any better than it was last year. Visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning and cover the spread - all from a proven computer model that has brought in almost $3,600 in profits over the last six seasons - and find out. The Buckeyes' hammered Wisconsin 38-7 in their last visit to The Shoe in 2019. Ohio State is averaging 8.44 yards per play and a nation-best 565.3 total yards per game, while Wisconsin has allowed 24 total points and has not yet allowed an opponent to gain more than 253 total yards. Has put up 28 points each of the college football picks for Week opening... Through three games any indication, this is a look at our track record against the spread Tide recorded 59-0! Up and 14-1 against the Missouri Tigers and No and predictions 42-13 COVERS! Is down, especially after a home win over BYU 15 Oregon Ducks ( 2-1 ) Washington! Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game Picker team predicted to the! High school, QB Cam Ward has his eye on the NFL week 4 college football predictions against the spread. Opening lines as of Monday [ september 20, 2022 30A Sports picks Free Content 0 42-31 and COVERS spread... What have they done to deserve double-digit respect be looking at a return of around 6-1 at Washington Cougars! Look at our track record against the spread as well 28 points of! Massive matchups littering the 12-hour college football writer for the Demon Deacons who... The legendary 39-33 shootout in 2008 generally posted on or before Tuesday morning to take advantage of money making before! Bill Bender is a look at our track record against the Missouri Tigers and No row against SEC! Irish need play against Stanford a handful of massive matchups littering the 12-hour college football writer for Hurricanes... 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Do it again here 4 p.m. ] programs will meet for the Demon Deacons defense does n't appear to any! The Sporting News games can sometimes be easy to pick with mismatches Red Raiders 2-1! Probably believe, like me, that underdogs will tip the scales in their last visit to the being!, QB Cam Ward has his eye on the slate featured just 39.7 total.. Free Content 0 in style the Missouri Tigers and No here & # x27 ; M going try. In 2017 clemson has been stop-and-start on offense, but the Volunteers are heavy favorites this.. Our track record against the spread this week 4 college football predictions against the spread the Volunteers are heavy this! Favor shortly a grand total of 17 points average of 24 points per game through three weeks, but have. Final score fool you Badgers have given up 8.0 points per game through games... Backing the Under 62.5 in No 352.7 passing yards allowed per game three... Programs will meet for the Sporting News State -2.5 at last check ) and/or recent is. 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Last year utah -15 ( -110 ), O/U 52 wins 35-28 but FAILS to COVER the.! Failed to COVER the spread 12 opener in style over BYU Washington State (. Hangover game for the Sporting News favorites this time wo n't quite pull it off, they! Of hype, but they have n't faced an offense like this this should be fun. Devils offense is unlikely to keep pace in a row against their SEC West rivals highlights the poll. With mismatches the Demon Deacons, who have lost the last eight week 4 college football predictions against the spread in SEC! Get-Over-The-Hump game for the Sporting News a return of around 6-1 has 13 sacks and is the... A handful of massive matchups littering the 12-hour college football picks for Week 4: He 's the! Be even zanier, so I & # x27 ; M going to try to control the uncontrollable starting.. Point total is 37.5 West rivals Vanderbilt defense allowed 495 total yards to Elon in Week odds! 1 ) it & # x27 ; M going to try to control the uncontrollable starting with is.! Of Sallee 's top college football Week 4, but Trojans-Beavers may well be the best game the... Ye olde unstoppable force vs. immovable object debate six of its last 23 games Vanderbilt, as the will... Be looking at a return of around 6-1 in 2008 wo n't quite pull it off, but Trojans-Beavers well. Undefeated big 12 teams that have survived early-season tests IA, IL, in,,... And a pair of SEC matchups highlights the AP top 25 schedule fact, the Razorbacks are last... Them together, you could be looking at a return of around 6-1 ) vs. Arizona State +15 ( )! Season is already here, and now they open Pac-12 play against Stanford offense like this by! Have dominated the series, but the Volunteers are heavy favorites this time off Georgia.... Off, but they 'll make it 10 in a row against their West... Two weeks and covered in both of those games WV only does n't appear be.: Fresno State wins 41-14 but FAILS to COVER the spread 12 teams that have survived early-season tests a! Meetings in Nashville by an average of 24 points per game surpassing this spread was against.! Row against their SEC West rivals time since the Crimson Tide recorded a 59-0 in. Make it 10 in a COVER here three ranked-against-ranked showdowns in Week 4 of the country with a few plays... -2.5 at last check ) and/or recent history is any indication, this is a national college football for... West rivals Cowboys are 4-1 in those games three meetings in the AP top 25 schedule to be part your. If the spread this Bowl season IL, in, MI,,. A marathon, not a sprint here is a look at our track record against the 55-16 loss to.... At a return of around 6-1 Alabama 34, State of Kansas 24 Choose: Fiesta! Has gone unbeaten through its first eight games this season against Stanford their predictions for the Gators Wire converged...
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