My guess is the actual stats are more like 0%, 1%, 12%, 30%, 40% 12%, not discovered 4%. How Does it Work? to help you solve WORDLE. Well, lets take a closer look at Wordle scores and statistics to find out. (All of those are fair, but of course you dont have to believe me). In all honesty, no. Assume your scores are like this: 0 1's 100 2's 300 3's 400 4's 300 5's. Get the products: 200 for the 2's (100 times 2) 900 for 3's 1600 for 4's 1500 for 5's. Now sum these: 200 + 900 + 1600 + 1500 equals 4200. To help guide the choice of the next guess the simulator scores the compatible words based on their likely suitability. Its a bit harder than that to calculate the odds of getting it in two. /*# sourceMappingURL=https://www.redditstatic.com/desktop2x/chunkCSS/TopicLinksContainer.3b33fc17a17cec1345d4_.css.map*/3.8. . But I strategically choose my first word based on recent history in the game. I did an international trip across the date line my streak ended when gong east even though I did the puzzle early in the day. Looking at the spread of scores for a single word allows you to see whether you did better than average on that word, but of course there is such an element of luck in this that you cant judge your performance from any single attempt. And yes of course it's free. So if your goal is winning and/or exercising your mind, why would you ever play hard mode? This system does fairly well. But Toronto's average score pales in comparison to the top 10 U.S. cities for Wordle. So the Twitter analysis is going to heavily bias towards the low end. I too concluded early on that Josh had made a deliberate decision to exclude plurals ie four letter words with an s added, and I also worked out by simple observation that it seemed not to repeat words and that there were no proper nouns though I thought Rupee was cutting it a bit close. So someone hitting it in 2 ten out of 100 times is not at all odd. And whos to say which AIm is right? I had this recently for the first three letters. I agree that was a tough one but what was your first word? My streak is only 71 because in the first month of play I didnt realize that I had to play every day to avoid breaking the streak. Weird they didnt point that out. Youve been playing Wordle for weeks now, and you want to know how good you are compared to other players. If you arent told anything about which letters are right or wrong you are proposing a game that is simply random word guessing, which is not much fun, so I guess you are oversimplifying. On your second guess, most of the time you will be playing a word to get a few more letters, rather than going for the actual solution. Add up the total number of guesses and divide by the number of times you have played the game. The actual chance of getting it right first time is about 1 in 2315 so it should be about 0.05%. There is a glitch in the program. I cannot believe what I am seeing with Wordle. I played the Wordle on my phone on the mobile site and got the word in 3 or 4 tries. And the idea that 1% of people get it in one is total BS. Someone may have given up when they reckoned they would end up with a high score for the day Ie distorting their results by not entering a score on a tactical basis. Of course, this means using more guesses, but there is also skill in being to do it quickly, athinkjng about the letters you have uncovered, whilst typing in another word. but could result in people abandoning any game where it would tale 4 or more to complete) #Wordle 218 2022-01-23269,929 results found on Twitter.7,630 hard mode players. You thus have a 1 in 6 chance of getting the solution in two with that opening word/solution pair. We have over 20,000 users now and it might be fun to . Location: Hessle, East Yorkshire. The only way to get the word on the first try is pure luck/guessing. It is a relatively simple statistical concept that is widely used in many areas. ._2Gt13AX94UlLxkluAMsZqP{background-position:50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:contain;position:relative;display:inline-block} guesses. I agree. I encourage people to check it out when they can. Probably true, and we dont know quite how Josh compiled the solution list but you soon start to learn by experience that there are probably no plurals of 4 letter words (boots) and no rude words (penis). Curiously the design is almost perfectly judged every puzzle can be solved in 6 attempts with an ideal strategy in standard mode, but not in 5 attempts. Definitely skews the data. All players will have a distribution of scores. Youve exchanged the two least-used vowels (u,y) to two commonly used consonants (s,c). In that situation there are words which theoretically can take 14 guesses to get right, though that involves a lot of very obscure words from the scrabble dictionary which most people would correctly assume are not in the wordle solution list. Whoa, did I just jinx myself?! The average of a set of numbers is simply the sum of the numbers divided by the total number of values in the set. Wordle Helper. I never bought into the strategy of loading vowels at the front end. I was ignorant as to what was happening and how the game stats worked. The Aim could be: Had it on the 2nd try and lost! The equation below is one of the more commonly understood definitions of the average: Average = Sum Count where the sum is the result of adding all of the given numbers, and the count is the number of values being added. The strategy being played will influence the raw odds to some extent but I dont think it can improve on them only reduce your chances of a solution in two. Which I would never do, but, duh. 4 is still excellent but people can skillfully narrow down options in first three attempts and get 4 regularly. 5 tries 17 Pooling a series of 30 or so of these scores gives an average difficulty score of 4.15 tries. /*# sourceMappingURL=https://www.redditstatic.com/desktop2x/chunkCSS/IdCard.ea0ac1df4e6491a16d39_.css.map*/._2JU2WQDzn5pAlpxqChbxr7{height:16px;margin-right:8px;width:16px}._3E45je-29yDjfFqFcLCXyH{margin-top:16px}._13YtS_rCnVZG1ns2xaCalg{font-family:Noto Sans,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:400;line-height:18px;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex}._1m5fPZN4q3vKVg9SgU43u2{margin-top:12px}._17A-IdW3j1_fI_pN-8tMV-{display:inline-block;margin-bottom:8px;margin-right:5px}._5MIPBF8A9vXwwXFumpGqY{border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;font-weight:500;letter-spacing:0;line-height:16px;padding:3px 10px;text-transform:none}._5MIPBF8A9vXwwXFumpGqY:focus{outline:unset} the maximum chance of doing it in 2 words (in which case you would try to optimise the first word you choose rather than do what I do get the optimal two opening words) Depending on how many you have done you can analyse whether your average is significantly better than the average of the large number of reported scores, I suspect that most average around 4 and less than 3.5 probably puts you in the top 10% and more than 4.5 in the bottom 10%. Youre making the assumption that people are only trying to get it in two, whereas most players are probably aiming to solve it in as few tries as possible, and if they get it in two, then thats a bit of good luck. Maybe they offer a one-day forgiveness period? Getting it on the second attempt is much harder to calculate the odds for but on average people with a vocabulary of words similar to the wordle dictionary are going to get it more often than 1/2314 (having eliminated one word with the first guess) because in many cases their first guess will have markedly reduced the list of possibles. Victory in two tries ._38lwnrIpIyqxDfAF1iwhcV{background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-widgetColors-lineColor);border:none;height:1px;margin:16px 0}._37coyt0h8ryIQubA7RHmUc{margin-top:12px;padding-top:12px}._2XJvPvYIEYtcS4ORsDXwa3,._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE,.icon._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE{border-radius:100%;box-sizing:border-box;-ms-flex:none;flex:none;margin-right:8px}._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE,.icon._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE{background-position:50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:100%;height:54px;width:54px;font-size:54px;line-height:54px}._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE._1uo2TG25LvAJS3bl-u72J4,.icon._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE._1uo2TG25LvAJS3bl-u72J4{filter:blur()}.eGjjbHtkgFc-SYka3LM3M,.icon.eGjjbHtkgFc-SYka3LM3M{border-radius:100%;box-sizing:border-box;-ms-flex:none;flex:none;margin-right:8px;background-position:50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:100%;height:36px;width:36px}.eGjjbHtkgFc-SYka3LM3M._1uo2TG25LvAJS3bl-u72J4,.icon.eGjjbHtkgFc-SYka3LM3M._1uo2TG25LvAJS3bl-u72J4{filter:blur()}._3nzVPnRRnrls4DOXO_I0fn{margin:auto 0 auto auto;padding-top:10px;vertical-align:middle}._3nzVPnRRnrls4DOXO_I0fn ._1LAmcxBaaqShJsi8RNT-Vp i{color:unset}._2bWoGvMqVhMWwhp4Pgt4LP{margin:16px 0;font-size:12px;font-weight:400;line-height:16px}.icon.tWeTbHFf02PguTEonwJD0{margin-right:4px;vertical-align:top}._2AbGMsrZJPHrLm9e-oyW1E{width:180px;text-align:center}.icon._1cB7-TWJtfCxXAqqeyVb2q{cursor:pointer;margin-left:6px;height:14px;fill:#dadada;font-size:12px;vertical-align:middle}.hpxKmfWP2ZiwdKaWpefMn{background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-active);background-size:cover;background-image:var(--newCommunityTheme-banner-backgroundImage);background-position-y:center;background-position-x:center;background-repeat:no-repeat;border-radius:3px 3px 0 0;height:34px;margin:-12px -12px 10px}._20Kb6TX_CdnePoT8iEsls6{-ms-flex-align:center;align-items:center;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex;margin-bottom:8px}._20Kb6TX_CdnePoT8iEsls6>*{display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle}.t9oUK2WY0d28lhLAh3N5q{margin-top:-23px}._2KqgQ5WzoQRJqjjoznu22o{display:inline-block;-ms-flex-negative:0;flex-shrink:0;position:relative}._2D7eYuDY6cYGtybECmsxvE{-ms-flex:1 1 auto;flex:1 1 auto;overflow:hidden;text-overflow:ellipsis}._2D7eYuDY6cYGtybECmsxvE:hover{text-decoration:underline}._19bCWnxeTjqzBElWZfIlJb{font-size:16px;font-weight:500;line-height:20px;display:inline-block}._2TC7AdkcuxFIFKRO_VWis8{margin-left:10px;margin-top:30px}._2TC7AdkcuxFIFKRO_VWis8._35WVFxUni5zeFkPk7O4iiB{margin-top:35px}._1LAmcxBaaqShJsi8RNT-Vp{padding:0 2px 0 4px;vertical-align:middle}._2BY2-wxSbNFYqAy98jWyTC{margin-top:10px}._3sGbDVmLJd_8OV8Kfl7dVv{font-family:Noto Sans,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:400;line-height:21px;margin-top:8px;word-wrap:break-word}._1qiHDKK74j6hUNxM0p9ZIp{margin-top:12px}.Jy6FIGP1NvWbVjQZN7FHA,._326PJFFRv8chYfOlaEYmGt,._1eMniuqQCoYf3kOpyx83Jj,._1cDoUuVvel5B1n5wa3K507{-ms-flex-pack:center;justify-content:center;margin-top:12px;width:100%}._1eMniuqQCoYf3kOpyx83Jj{margin-bottom:8px}._2_w8DCFR-DCxgxlP1SGNq5{margin-right:4px;vertical-align:middle}._1aS-wQ7rpbcxKT0d5kjrbh{border-radius:4px;display:inline-block;padding:4px}._2cn386lOe1A_DTmBUA-qSM{border-top:1px solid var(--newCommunityTheme-widgetColors-lineColor);margin-top:10px}._2Zdkj7cQEO3zSGHGK2XnZv{display:inline-block}.wzFxUZxKK8HkWiEhs0tyE{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;line-height:16px;color:var(--newCommunityTheme-button);cursor:pointer;text-align:left;margin-top:2px}._3R24jLERJTaoRbM_vYd9v0._3R24jLERJTaoRbM_vYd9v0._3R24jLERJTaoRbM_vYd9v0{display:none}.yobE-ux_T1smVDcFMMKFv{font-size:16px;font-weight:500;line-height:20px}._1vPW2g721nsu89X6ojahiX{margin-top:12px}._pTJqhLm_UAXS5SZtLPKd{text-transform:none} I dont think there are many first guess/solution pairs that really narrow down the options to only 2 or three possible words. How Does it Work? Its possible that some optimal starter words might push the figure higher than that if used repeatedly again an interesting calculation. If Im forced to follow my strategy through two words, Ive covered the top 6 consonants and top 4 vowels in the English language. Love the challenge, enjoy the exercise. Another follow up: My WordHurdle (6-letter), guess distribution is virtually the same as my 5-letter disti. Id like to know what percentage of players got in two, three, four, . I look at two metrics - average guesses, which only applies to games where you won (got the word within six guesses). Its not just the letters you choose in your guess; its also the order of the letters that give bang for the buck. If win % is 100 how are my streaks not equal to my games played? the maximum streak (never miss a day, make sure you never lose) Now that quite a few people have posted 100 streaks you can see that a few people are posting what looks like unlikely numbers of second guess hits (10/100 for example). A further thought I dont think Wordle repeats words, at least not for now, so if you have a good memory for the words you have already solved the pool of possibilities will be decreasing every day and thus improving your chance of getting quick solutions somewhat. It also ended up the game with my highest score, 6, and even then I consider myself lucky because even on the 6th guess, I had multiple viable options. Not to be a buzzkill but gotta include the # of games you didn't solve so just take the difference between your (total games total games solved) x 7, add that to the total and divide by # of games played. Average is 3.7. Quite a few players manage to crack it in the final attempt. ._1x9diBHPBP-hL1JiwUwJ5J{font-size:14px;font-weight:500;line-height:18px;color:#ff585b;padding-left:3px;padding-right:24px}._2B0OHMLKb9TXNdd9g5Ere-,._1xKxnscCn2PjBiXhorZef4{height:16px;padding-right:4px;vertical-align:top}.icon._1LLqoNXrOsaIkMtOuTBmO5{height:20px;vertical-align:middle;padding-right:8px}.QB2Yrr8uihZVRhvwrKuMS{height:18px;padding-right:8px;vertical-align:top}._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0{font-size:14px;font-weight:500;line-height:18px;color:var(--newCommunityTheme-actionIcon)}._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0 ._1LLqoNXrOsaIkMtOuTBmO5,._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0 ._2B0OHMLKb9TXNdd9g5Ere-,._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0 ._1xKxnscCn2PjBiXhorZef4,._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0 .QB2Yrr8uihZVRhvwrKuMS{fill:var(--newCommunityTheme-actionIcon)} Someone I saw the other day had the aim of producing a symmetrical display by the time they had the solution! My guess is that people with significant numbers of second guess hits are either consciously or unconsciously using hints there are enough of them about including one twitter spoilsport I saw who posted the solution for the next days puzzle under the hashtag for todays fortunately I only saw that twitter posting two days later otherwise it would have ruined a days play for me. Nevertheless, as long as you understand that you are comparing your results against such a biassed sample its still interesting to see if you are doing better than the average twitter poster. I could not figure out how Ive won 50 games of Wordleonly losing one single timeand yet Ive never gotten my streak above 8. By my calculations I'm averaging 2.7? That is also why Wordle only shows data related to personal performance to the players but it wouldnt be too much of a shocker if they launched a community leaderboard, given the games success and mass appeal. It never occurred to me to abandon a game before a sixth and potentially failing guess to keep my 100%! Multiply each row by the number of times you got that score, then add them together and divide that total by number of days solved: ( (1 x a) + (2 x b) + (3 x c) + (4 x d) + (5 x e) + (6 x f)) /n Edit: changed number of days played to number of days solved. No doubt there could be other AIms I havent considered. Ive changed my mind slightly about the odds of getting a hole in one. Weve had 3 second guess hits out of 92 attempts. If you take an interest in wordle its also pretty hard to avoid subtle hints theres a strong argument for doing it first thing on waking before talking to anyone else or checking your phone if you want your results to be wholly unbiassed. There have been attempts to do it mathematically but I think they fail to take into account some of the clues that we get from the initial guess as well as the fact that we apply quite bit of knowledge about what letter combinations are common in English. To my mind is a more accurate statistic to follow. The 1% of players who fail and still share are the real bravehearts who share honest results without cheating or hiding behind the veil of pretense. UMBER-5 Jeremy, regarding yesterdays (4/23) game, I solved it in 2, my 7th 2 in 85 games. That cannot be hidden or skewed in any way. It was crass. Without looking at statistics, I assume 6-letter words would be easier, and 4-letter words slightly harder than 5-letter words. Ill share something with you tomorrow. Wordle is a game where the goal is to guess the correct five-letter word in as few guesses as possible. Moreover, who needs a brain twister at 7:00 am with your coffee. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. I have a sneaking suspicion that Josh took a list of every 5 letter word from a standard dictionary and hand picked the ones he was going to include as those that he recognised and didnt want to exclude for the above reasons, so that you are effectively matching your vocabulary against his. One could check that these observations are correct by looking through the solution list but Im still managing to resist the temptation to do that even though I have a saved copy of the source code. How to Calculate your Average Wordle Score Use the simple form below to calculate your Wordle average. Shouldn't my average be under 4.0 if I have more scores less than 4 than scores over 4? Most of my words are 4s. On average it finds a . Savemywordle.com will save it automatically for you. S?A?E. For this I currently use the sum of the (fixed) frequencies of the word's unique letters in the dataset. Who has the best average? For example choosing two starter words to cover all the commonest vowels and consonants and using the same two every day will distinctly reduce your chances of a 2 solution, reducing it to zero once the second word has appeared as a solution. The US state with the best overall score in Wordle is North Dakota, with an average try of just 3.65 tries. If it shows more numbers in 2 guesses, youre in the top 5 percentile among the Wordle players. This average excludes failed days. The quickest way to track how many attempts you have been taking to solve Wordles is by checking the Guess Distribution numbers on your Wordle statistics. How about in place of the useless Streak stats which takes TWO places on the stat line. You dont need to test each possibility. Its so easy to cheat at wordle that the only persons figures you can really believe are your own. QUESTION: Would a 6-letter Wordle be easier or harder? 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