This race is simply not on the national radar. The Iowa Poll, conducted October 31-November 3, 2022, for the Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is based on telephone interviews with 801 Iowans ages 18 or older. Selzer said the numbers paint a strong picture for Grassley. , Gov. Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley faced Democratic nominee Michael Franken . if (chevron.hasClass('fa-chevron-up')) { The poll of 801 likely voters was conducted Oct. 31 to Nov. 3 by Selzer & Co., with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. top: -1px; Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. In Floridas closely watched governors race, Gov. Still, he believes Grassley probably should have retired a long time ago., I think theres a time when you might be getting too old to serve, Donner said. } Grassley was first elected in 1980 and was most recently re-elected in 2016. On November 4, 2021, Iowa Gov. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. Franken is more lukewarm with the groups that traditionally make up the Democrats base, Selzer said, particularly among women. Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party. Iowa Poll shows Mike Franken within striking distance of Chuck Grassley. text-align: left !important; width: 100%; margin-top: 1em; font-weight: 300; Randy Feenstra wins race for Iowa's 4th Congressional District. Nov. 14, 2022, With Senator Cortez Mastos victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. } .candidateListTablePartisan td { , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. .leg-hnt-flex-column { Results based on smaller samples of respondents such as by gender or age have a larger margin of error. text-align: center; Reid Epstein June 7, 2022. The chamber's Republican majority increased from 32-18 to 34-16. } overflow: hidden; } Abortion rights were put to the test in the midterm elections. Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. } else { Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. I dont think that senators and congressmen should be able to serve in there and make a career out of it.. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. } } Janet Mills of Maine. $("div.vis_widget_title").each(function(index) { Thats down slightly from the 54% of women who favored Franken in October. , Matt Cartwright, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Eighth Congressional District. The poll of 804 Iowa adults, including 620 likely voters, was conducted Oct. 9-12 by Selzer & Co. The "Filed in 2022 in " column lists the districts, in which incumbents filed to run. This was the largest guaranteed influx of newcomers to the Iowa General Assembly since 2014. border: 1px solid #aaa; document.getElementById('leg-hnt-toggle63ff7aa4eacea').addEventListener('click', event => { padding: 2px 0; .inner_percentage.D { padding-left: 0; font-weight: bold; These individuals include: In a special session in late 2021, the Iowa Legislature approved new district maps for representation for the next 10 years. J.D. if (chevron.hasClass('fa-chevron-down')) { Nov. 8, 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. flex: 0 0 150px; PublishedNovember 8, 2022 at 9:18 AM CST, How to select the right seeds for your garden, Hawkeye football coaches dropped from racial discrimination lawsuit, Rebecca Makkai's smart, prep school murder novel is self-aware about the 'ick' factor, Eli Lilly cuts the price of insulin, capping drug at $35 per month out-of-pocket, Election Results: Gov. The polls just closed in Montana, Utah and parts of Nevada, Idaho and Oregon. clear: both; His 12-percentage-point lead is comfortable, but it continues to suggest Grassley could see his narrowest margin of victory since he was first elected to the U.S. Senate by 8 percentage points in 1980. Seth Magaziner, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Rhode Islands Second Congressional District. Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register and Mediacom is prohibited. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. The House of Representatives and Iowa Senate combined represent the legislative branch of Iowa government. Women favor Franken 50% to 46% over Grassley. The Iowa Constitution states, "Senators shall be chosen for the term of four years, at the same time and place as representatives; they shall be twenty-five years of age, and possess the qualifications of representatives as to residence and citizenship. background-color: green; Senators are also responsible for approving agency appointments made by the governor. The 2022 Iowa Senate elections were held on November 8, 2022 to elect members of the Iowa Senate from 25 odd-numbered districts. color: #888; display: inline; Read more about the methodology. Republican John Duarte has inched in front of moderate Democrat Adam Gray, despite the fact this Central Valley district went for President Joe Biden by 11 points in 2020 . } Chuck Grassley is committed to putting the well-being of Iowans & America first. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. } The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa . These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. .results_row td:first-child { column-width: 175px; Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. Inflation is at levels not seen in decades. document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ff7aa4eacea').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); Lazaro Gamio Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. A primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. } else { , Yadira Caraveo, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Colorados Eighth Congressional District. @media screen and (max-width: 350px) { } Chuck Grassley (R-IA) is only 3 points ahead of Democratic challenger Mike Franken in his bid for an eighth term in what could be the closest reelection contest of . margin-bottom: -2px !important; Democrats also won the Governors office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. Nevadas Senate race is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report. US Sen. Chuck Grassley wins reelection. .votebox-results-metadata-p { display: block; Senator Charles E. Grassley easily won his Republican primary and is facing Mike Franken, a retired Navy admiral and Democrat. Five other districts were open due to redistricting moving incumbents into districts with other incumbents. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. .race_header { Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. font-weight: 300; Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. He gets not only the overall lead but the strong support of the people who are the core of his base. Elections for the Iowa State Senate took place in 2022. [25] However, retired vice-admiral Michael Franken managed to slowly overtake her as the perceived frontrunner, assisted by an effective campaign that highlighted his leadership credentials. Heres the state of the closest races: [16] The legislature could only vote to approve or reject the maps and could not make any amendments. if ($(this).next('.vis_widget_table').is(":hidden")) { Some states and some individual counties provide results broken down by type of ballot cast, which can include Election Day votes, or those cast early, either in person or by mail. Could he really win? chevron.addClass('fa-chevron-down'); Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. position: absolute; Nov. 9, 2022, With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. font-size: 90%; Albert Sun If a political party fails to nominate a candidate at the primary election, the party may hold a convention after the primary to nominate a candidate. }); What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline? } Albert Sun } The Iowa Poll, conducted October 31-November 3, 2022, for the Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, is based on telephone interviews with 801 Iowans ages 18 or older who say they will definitely vote or have already voted in the 2022 general election for governor, U.S. Senate, and other offices. Nationally, political analysts and other polling suggest the effects of this summers U.S. Supreme Court opinion reversing abortion rights have waned as voters focus more on issues such as inflation. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { background-color: #f9d334; . Incumbents are marked with an (i) after their name. break-inside: avoid-column; } Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? } The 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa. column-count: auto; [9], Non-party Political Organizations (NPPOs) are permitted to hold conventions to nominate their candidates. } Read more display: flex; [4][5], A candidate seeking the nomination of a state-recognized political party in a primary election must be a member of that party. position: relative; Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. Nov. 8, 2022, Pennsylvania is home to a close Senate race between Lt. Gov. Maggie Astor . . Copyright 2022, Des Moines Register and Tribune Co. Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley has gained a double-digit lead over Democrat Mike Franken in the closing days of Iowas U.S. Senate race, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows. chevron.addClass('fa-chevron-up'); display: block; Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. In 2022, due to redistricting, 34 are up for election. There's no lurking vulnerability there that shows up in these data, she said. , Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District. , Don Bacon, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District. These totals include data from all regularly-scheduled House and Senate elections. position: absolute; font-size: 12px !important; Alicia Parlapiano 100% remote. .thirdpartyname { Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. } The Iowa State Senate was one of 88 state legislative chambers holding elections in 2022. } Grassley, 89, is seeking an eighth term in the Senate this year. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r